Miami, Fla. – As of this morning's update the National Hurricane Center has tagged a low pressure disturbance in the eastern Caribbean at a 60% probability of tropical development through the weekend. The system is not likely to cause alarm here on the Gulf Coast. Forecast models at this point have ultimate movement towards the north and open waters of the Atlantic.

Air Force hurricane hunters may further investigate that system later today.

Here's the complete morning update from NHC:

 1. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO HAVE BECOME A LITTLE MORE CONCENTRATED THIS MORNING. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT BEFORE THE SYSTEM INTERACTS WITH THE LAND MASSES OF HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO RICO.  THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH...AND A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.  WHETHER A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMS OR NOT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS DISTURBANCE THIS AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.  2. DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD MOVING TROPICAL WAVE. DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.  FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013.